Why Puntland Is Walking Away from Mogadishu
The relationship between the Puntland Administration and the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS) has reached its most perilous inflection point in the country's post-civil war history.
Djibouti: Between Strategic Reality and Official Narrative
The claim that Djibouti is a major transshipment center connecting Africa, Asia, and Europe warrants scrutiny.
Ankara’s Blind Spots in the Somali Quagmire
Turkey, enticed by the promise of lucrative resource deals and strategic influence, now finds itself deeply entangled in a Somali quagmire of its own making.
Abiy’s Ethiopia: Ballots in the Capital, Bullets in the Regions
Long before dawn broke over Addis Ababa on June 1, queues of voters had already formed outside polling stations across the Ethiopian capital.
Turkey’s Somali Oil Gamble: Partnership or Paternalism?
As the Turkish drillship Çağrı Bey bores into a potential 10-billion-barrel well off Somalia’s coast—escorted by Turkish F-16s and frigates—a fierce debate erupts: Is this a strategic alliance, or a…
The Strategic Mirage: Why Djibouti’s “Stability” Is the Horn’s Most Dangerous Illusion
President Ismail Omar Guelleh (IOG) prepares to secure his sixth term on April 10th, the "Landlord of the Horn" is finding that his tightrope is fraying...
Inside Somalia’s Rift with the UAE
When Somalia announced, in January 12, it was annulling all agreements with the United Arab Emirates, the language from Mogadishu was unmistakable...
Israel’s Somaliland Move Raises Proxy War Fears
On December 26, 2025, the State of Israel formally recognized the self-declared Republic of Somaliland as an independent nation..
Somalia’s Quiet Entanglement in Sudan’s War
Somalia has not officially chosen a side in Sudan’s civil war. Yet, through silence and deniability, it finds itself entangled in the conflict...
Stability, According to Ismaïl Omar Guelleh
Ismaïl Omar Guelleh (IOG), Djibouti’s immovable president, has once again granted an interview — an exercise he indulges in from time to time, with the self-assurance of a man convinced…