Ethiopia at War Again
For years, Ethiopia’s federal government and regional militias existed in an uneasy truce. Violence flared and alliances shifted, but the country repeatedly avoided a return to the scale of the…
The Shub Assassination Plot: Sovereignty, Suspicion, and Spoiled Evidence
The September 4, 2026, missile strike targeting the Doolow residence of General Mahad Abdirahman Aden—widely known as "Shub," the former commander of the Somali Custodial Corps—has escalated from a localized…
Saudi Arabia’s Yemen Quagmire: Three Missed Chances
A kingdom that once sought to reshape the Middle East through military intervention and economic largesse now finds itself squeezed between two hostile chokepoints...
Fractured Southwest: The Geopolitical Battle for Mogadishu
Recent clashes in Baidoa have reignited a full-scale crisis in the Southwest State (SWS), fundamentally shifting Somalia’s political balance.
Shadows Over Mudug: History, Clan Diplomacy, and the End of the PSF
The city of Galkayo, the capital of the Mudug region, which has historically been an arena for political and clan power struggles, this week hosted one of the most severe…
Ethiopia on the Brink: Shererina Clashes Signal Collapse of Pretoria Accord
The heavy fighting that erupted in western Tigray before dawn on Saturday has entered its fourth day, with the front line settling into an uneasy, fragile calm as of Tuesday…
Puntland’s Precipice: When Federalism Meets Gunfire
By the dusty roads of Laag, thirty kilometers from the strategic port city of Bosaso, the abstract concept of federalism has met the harsh reality of gunfire.
The New Red Sea Frontline: How the War on Iran is Redrawing Somalia’s Geopolitical Map
The catalyst for the current regional realignment is the unprecedented strangulation of global maritime trade, driven by the broader outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict.
The Fall of Baidoa: When Regional Election Disputes Turn Into Bullets
Somalia’s Southwest State has emerged as the centre of a rapidly escalating political and military crisis. What began as a dispute over elections and authority has, within the span of…
When Distant Conflicts Hit Home: How the Iran War Tests Somalia
For many countries, conflict in the Gulf is a geopolitical headline. For Somalia, it is something far more immediate.